Bee Tree Tanks

34.31117, -111.64378

Long unreportedlast reported 8 years ago

How this site decides what it can and cannot say — the method.

Insufficient record

No read issued

1 report — a correlation needs at least 10 before it means anything, so no read is issued here.

What people saw

One observation, 8 years ago: trickle on 2018-12-05.

These are the observations themselves, not a forecast. Too few to correlate against rainfall, but they are what people actually found.

2018-12-05Trickle0.4Super muddy. A gang of elk were going to town in it.

Why

The engine will still produce a number from 1 report, and that number is noise. It will happily report a perfect correlation from two observations. On a screen where someone is deciding how much water to carry, that is the most dangerous thing this site could render, so it is not rendered.

9 more reports would reach the 10 needed for a read.

This is the fix

Every dated observation moves this source closer to a read, and sharpens the ones around it too.

Add a report

What was the water doing when you were there? Every observation sharpens this source and, because nearby sources lend each other statistical strength, the ones around it.

Date you saw it

The day you were standing there, not today. The forecast correlates rainfall up to this date, so a wrong date is worse than no report.

How much water?

Score the water you could actually use. If the seep itself has stopped but the rock tanks below it are holding, that is water — score the tanks.

Dry0.0No water at all — not even poolsPools or dripping0.2Water present but not flowing; stagnant pools, a drip, a full spring box with no outflowTrickle0.4Light but filterable — you can fill a bottle, slowlyModerate0.6Steady flow, roughly a quart per minuteStrong0.8Roughly a gallon per minuteRaging1.0Gallon-plus, loud, no question about it

Notes (optional)

In your own words. Kept verbatim — the number is what the model reads, but this is what a human checks when a forecast looks surprising.